As we head into the SEC schedule, here are my takes on what we have seen so far.
Stackhouse wanted to improve the non-conference schedule. Of course, you can never be sure how good any one team can be projecting from one year to the next, or in the case of basketball sometimes projecting a few seasons ahead.
So, if we view the non-conference schedule through the lens of KenPom, and recognizing that KenPom’s rankings are still evolving to some extent, my own reaction, albeit with rose-colored glasses on, is that the collection of teams played (with a collective 109-69 record) represented an “ok” balance of challenging games coupled with some “creampuffs”, but, as shown below, pale in comparison to the level of competition we will face night-in-and-night-out” beginning on Tuesday:
Non-Conf Team | KenPom @ 12/30 | My “Eye Test” | Game Site |
| | | |
Memphis | 28 | A “Good” Team | Home |
Southern Miss | 130 | Much Better than Expected | Home |
Temple | 134 | Not Much Better than Average | Road |
Morehead State | 277 | Bad Team | Home |
St. Mary’s | 16 | Pretty Good . . . Not a Great Team | Neutral |
Fresno State | 140 | A Below Average Team | Neutral |
VCU | 108 | A Very Competitive Team | Away |
Wofford | 166 | A Fairly Good Mid-Major | Home |
Pittsburgh | 68 | 3-0 in the ACC So Far | Home |
Grambling | 234 | A Higher Level SWAC Team | Home |
NC State | 59 | 0-3 in the ACC So Far | Neutral |
Alabama A&M | 327 | A Way Below Average Team | Home |
Southeast LA | 293 | A Bad Team | Home |
| | | |
Average Non-Conf | 152 | “Middling, at Best” | Not Applicable |
| | | |
SEC Teams | KenPom@ 12/31 | Comments | N/A |
| | | |
14 Teams | 56.4 | VU @96 (GA@ 99 + uSc @203 | |
13 Teams | 53.3 | Excludes VU | |
12 Teams | 40.8 | Excludes VU plus uSc | |
Against the non-conference opponents, we carved out a few noteworthy statistics (Reminder: 363 D1 Teams):
- Robbins is 6th in the country in blocked shots @ 2.8 per game which is “remarkable” since his minutes have been constrained by his coach;
- Stute is 19th in the country in terms of % of made “3’s” @ 47.1% (even with his horrendous 1-8 night versus Alabama A&M);
- Stute is 32nd in the country in terms of # of made “3’s” per game @ 3.1;
- The team is 16th in terms of blocked shots per game;
- The Dores 12.8 assists per game ranks 246th;
- The team’s 5.2 steals per game ranks 323rd;
- Turnovers per game @ 12.6 per game ranks 208th;
- The team has 166 assists and 164 turnovers . . . not a formula to generate success on the court;
- The team is 215th in “3” point shooting % (@33.3%), or 8.4 per game, which means that Stack’s assertion that they have to hit 10-12 “3’s” per game in SEC games appears to be a “hope for” strategy to find success going forward [while the numbers (see below) say take more “2’s”]; and
- The team is (a woeful) 263rd in free throw % @ 68.3%, although a couple of players have moved their individual averages up to the mid-70’s range, plus to add to this poor performance, the Dores only make 10.8 free throws per game.
As many of us have speculated, there was no easy “fix” for losing 21 PPG from one player as illustrated below:
Player | PPG | Mins | Rebs | 2 PT FG % | 2 PT’ers | 3 PT FG % | 3 PT’ers | FT % | FT’s |
| | | | | | | | | |
Stute | 11.5 | 21.6 | 5.8 | 34.4 | 11-32 | 47.1 | 40-85 | 63.6 | 7-11 |
Robbins | 11.9 | 21.6 | 5.1 | 61.4 | 51-83 | 18.2 | 4-22 | 74.5 | 41-55 |
Wright | 9.5 | 24.5 | 4.5 | 46.4 | 32-69 | 25.7 | 9-35 | 72.2 | 13-18 |
Lawrence | 10.4 | 25.9 | 3.3 | 61.2 | 38-62 | 29.0 | 9-31 | 71.1 | 32-45 |
Manjon | 7.5 | 28.4 | 3.2 | 51.2 | 42-82 | 8.3 | 1-12 | 68.8 | 11-16 |
Thomas | 7.2 | 24.2 | 1.6 | 37.5 | 3-8 | 33.9 | 19-56 | 100.0 | 2-2 |
Smith | 4.9 | 16.3 | 3.3 | 46.7 | 7-17 | 33.3 | 10-30 | 62.5 | 15-24 |
Can Stute stay out of foul trouble and try to do something else on the court other than shoot “3’s”?
Can the coach allow Robbins to play 25-27 minutes per game and against other good big men stay out of foul trouble?
Are Wright’s back and/or other ailments healed up, and, if so, can he become a consistent force on the court, e.g., move his PPG up, get his “3” point % up to the mid-30’s, etc?
Can Lawrence show up consistently and limit his all too frequent “mindless” and, at times, errors?
Can Manjon maintain his stellar shooting from “2” and get some effective support from Lewis (in order to keep Thomas out of the point guard role!)?
Can Smith emerge as an effective performer in conference play?
As an unexpected “bonus” (which might make a difference in a game or two), can Ansong give his team a consistent “energy” boost off the bench by grabbing some boards, running the floor and hitting an occasional bucket?
Can “Q” get back to how he played last year as opposed to what we have observed this season (albeit only a little better)?
What do I expect out of SEC play? Beyond the stats and the win-loss record to date, not much as . . .
- We have no “go to” scorer;
- We do not have enough players who can score;
- We only have one consistent threat from deep;
- We are a below average shooting team from “3”;
- We have no dominant rebounder;
- We do not have a stand out passer on the team;
- We do not have an accomplished driver who can either or both finish and dish;
- We do not have a “lock-down” defender on this team; and
- We do not play stand out defense as a team.