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Football Updated Projections

kerrigjl

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Nov 18, 2006
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https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/team/vanderbilt-commodores/projections

Projcted record: 7-5
78.4% chance of bowl eligibility
14.3% chance of winning the east
3.4% chance of winning the SEC
1% chance of being undefeated

90th percentile possible outcome: 10-2
70th percentile: 8-4
most likely: 7-5
30th percentile: 6-6
10th percentile 4-8

Interestingly, VU's chances of winning the conference are tied with Florida and worse only than LSU, Auburn, Alabama, UTjr, and UGA

Projected chance of winning the following games (record at that time, if independently considered):
AAM - 99.5% (2-0)
KSU - 55.1% (3-0)
Bama - 10.5% (3-1)
UF - 40.3% (3-2)
UGA - 46.7% (3-3)
Ole Miss - 50.8% (4-3)
SCar - 56.3% (5-3)
WKU - 82.3% (6-3)
UK - 70.9% (7-3)
Mizzou - 72.1% (8-3)
UTjr - 38% (8-4)
 
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