I like these, because they adjust for good and bad luck, telling you what a team's record would be expected to be based on the runs they've scored and allowed. Here they are in order of best to worst expected SEC record, with overall expected record in parenthesis:
1. Vanderbilt, 16-5, -1 (36-9, -3)
2. Florida, 15-6, -2 (35-10, -2)
3t. LSU, 14-6, - (35-9, +2) and TAMU, 14-6, -1 (37-7, -)
5. Auburn, 11-10, -1 (31-14, -2)
6t. Missouri, 11-10, +2 (26-17, -1) and Arkansas, 10-11, +1 (28-16, -2)
8. Kentucky, 9-11, +1 (23-19, +2)
9. Alabama, 8-13, - (27-16, -4) and South Carolina, 8-13, +1 (25-20, +1)
11. Georgia, 7-13, -1 (24-20, -3)
12t. Mississippi State, 7-14, - (26-18, -3) and Ole Miss, 7-14, +3 (22-23, +1)
14. Tennessee, 6-15, +1 (18-21, _)
Anyway, I run these about once a week and I'll try to take the time to post them here, if anybody cares about them besides me.
A negative number means the team has won fewer games that it should, a positive number means the team has overachieved by that number of wins. A (-) means the team's record is what it should be.
1. Vanderbilt, 16-5, -1 (36-9, -3)
2. Florida, 15-6, -2 (35-10, -2)
3t. LSU, 14-6, - (35-9, +2) and TAMU, 14-6, -1 (37-7, -)
5. Auburn, 11-10, -1 (31-14, -2)
6t. Missouri, 11-10, +2 (26-17, -1) and Arkansas, 10-11, +1 (28-16, -2)
8. Kentucky, 9-11, +1 (23-19, +2)
9. Alabama, 8-13, - (27-16, -4) and South Carolina, 8-13, +1 (25-20, +1)
11. Georgia, 7-13, -1 (24-20, -3)
12t. Mississippi State, 7-14, - (26-18, -3) and Ole Miss, 7-14, +3 (22-23, +1)
14. Tennessee, 6-15, +1 (18-21, _)
Anyway, I run these about once a week and I'll try to take the time to post them here, if anybody cares about them besides me.
A negative number means the team has won fewer games that it should, a positive number means the team has overachieved by that number of wins. A (-) means the team's record is what it should be.
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