It does not have them in the tourney. Factors I did some kind of weight of were in no particular order:
Q1 wins
Q2 losses
Q1+2 overall record
Q3 losses
Q4 losses
Overall Record
Conference Record
Road Wins
Strength of Schedule (NET)
Net Ranking
Predictive Metrics Average Ranking (KenPom, BPI and Sagarin)
Results Metrics Average (KPI and SoR)
I know, some of these maybe aren't factored any or at all, but I do think looking historically sometimes some of these are given credit. I tried to weight on what I thought were the important things committee focused on, but that's obviously subjective (also, I wonder if committee members do something like this, i don't know?). Overall, I was pretty happy though with my results, they MOSTLY made sense. I had a few outliers.
I ranked 69 teams. The what appears to be obvious outliers are
Baylor came in 4th, that just seems way too high especially ahead of #5 UCLA and #6 Purdue (Of top 6, they were the only one I would veer off my rankings some)
Iowa St was 8th
Michigan State came in 15th
West VA 18th
FAU 19th
Oral Roberts 29th
Charleston 31st
Ok ST 34th
North Texas 40th
Sam Houston 47th
Bradley 52nd (ahead of Drake)
And, those dang Mountain West teams all came out higher than I think I would put them, they have tricked the system somehow, but San Diego St was 16th, Boise ST 33rd, Utah ST 38 and Nevada 41st. Sheesh
Ok, but at least I tried to kind of quantify some stuff, and Vanderbilt is lower than I'd hope to see. They are 51st. Now, some good news is some of the teams ahead of them by my ranking are probably really not ahead, and hopefully also get auto bids (thinking / hoping FAU, Oral Roberts (looks like they will), Charleston (did) , and Sam Houston [North Texas is in same conf as FAU]).
So, if you take away Oral Roberts, Charleston, North Texas, and Sam Houston (I'm not even sure if they are ahead or behind, but its a bit scary looking at this this way), that would put VU 47th, and ahead of the following teams:
Arizona St (ranked 54, but Bradley and Kent St were ahead haha)
MSST
UNC
Clemson
Michigan
Oregon
TX Tech
Rutgers (they came really low in my own formula haha at 64)
New Mexico
Also i was a bit wrong maybe on my initial thoughts of ranking MSST, Auburn and AR in that order, MSSt despite those 2 great wins seem to be the bottom. Auburn came in fine at 37th overall. But, like I've been saying, AR may be that team that everyone has in that is in great danger of not making it, as they were 2 spots ahead of VU at 49. Of note, Penn St who have had 2 buzzer beaters in a row (the Maryland one sheesh was a gift) is one spot ahead of VU at 50. But I believe this has VU right around the last 4 in, so I guess I feel better, was hoping they were higher. If you went strictly by my rating, here would be the order of teams by seed (and I have the seeds listed, but they are in order, so Kansas is the #1 overall and Baylor [who I wouldn't have a 1, I'd have UCLA] is the 4th 1 seed. And this through games of yesterday. And, this is not exactly how I'd do it, but i think this year I'm going to lean on this other than some outliers like I said, I'll move WVA and Michigan ST and Baylor down, how much for each not sure yet, but overall it doesn't look too bad (and those MW teams, in my mind I just don't see 4 deserving it). Also interesting that it has MO ahead of TX AM. And I'm just listing like there is no auto bids so you can see, I'm going to have to calculate exactly where last 4 in were be in this list (I am listing 6 11 seeds) But if you take those 4/5 "hopefully" obvious out, VU looks to be maybe the last team in (and I promise I did my calculations before ranking any team, then just went down the NET excluding a few teams I know aren't making it until I got to Vanderbilt)
1. Kansas
1. Alabama
1. Houston
1. Baylor
2. UCLA
2. Purdue
2. Texas
2. Iowa St
3. UConn
3. Kansas St
3. Gonzaga
3. Arizona
4. Marquette
4. Tennessee
4. Michigan St
4. San Diego St
5. Xavier
5. West Virginia
5. FAU
5. Miami FL
6. Indiana
6. Virginia
6. St Mary's
6. Missouri
7. TCU
7. TX AM
7. Kentucky
7. Duke
8. Oral Roberts
8. Northwestern
8. Charleston
8. Memphis
9. Boise St
9. Oklahoma ST
9. Creighton
9. USC
10. Auburn
10. Utah St
10. Illinois
10. North Texas
11. Nevada
11. Iowa
11. Wisconsin
11. Maryland
11. Providence
11. NC ST
12. Sam Houston
12. Pitt
12. Arkansas
12. Penn ST
13. Vanderbilt
13. Bradley
13. Kent St
13. Arizona St
14. MSST
14. Drake
14. UNC
14. Clemson
15. Michigan
15. Oregon
15. VCU
15. UAB
16. TX Tech
16. Rutgers
16. Liberty
16. New Mexico
16. Villanova
16. Washington St
What is this good for. Nothing
Q1 wins
Q2 losses
Q1+2 overall record
Q3 losses
Q4 losses
Overall Record
Conference Record
Road Wins
Strength of Schedule (NET)
Net Ranking
Predictive Metrics Average Ranking (KenPom, BPI and Sagarin)
Results Metrics Average (KPI and SoR)
I know, some of these maybe aren't factored any or at all, but I do think looking historically sometimes some of these are given credit. I tried to weight on what I thought were the important things committee focused on, but that's obviously subjective (also, I wonder if committee members do something like this, i don't know?). Overall, I was pretty happy though with my results, they MOSTLY made sense. I had a few outliers.
I ranked 69 teams. The what appears to be obvious outliers are
Baylor came in 4th, that just seems way too high especially ahead of #5 UCLA and #6 Purdue (Of top 6, they were the only one I would veer off my rankings some)
Iowa St was 8th
Michigan State came in 15th
West VA 18th
FAU 19th
Oral Roberts 29th
Charleston 31st
Ok ST 34th
North Texas 40th
Sam Houston 47th
Bradley 52nd (ahead of Drake)
And, those dang Mountain West teams all came out higher than I think I would put them, they have tricked the system somehow, but San Diego St was 16th, Boise ST 33rd, Utah ST 38 and Nevada 41st. Sheesh
Ok, but at least I tried to kind of quantify some stuff, and Vanderbilt is lower than I'd hope to see. They are 51st. Now, some good news is some of the teams ahead of them by my ranking are probably really not ahead, and hopefully also get auto bids (thinking / hoping FAU, Oral Roberts (looks like they will), Charleston (did) , and Sam Houston [North Texas is in same conf as FAU]).
So, if you take away Oral Roberts, Charleston, North Texas, and Sam Houston (I'm not even sure if they are ahead or behind, but its a bit scary looking at this this way), that would put VU 47th, and ahead of the following teams:
Arizona St (ranked 54, but Bradley and Kent St were ahead haha)
MSST
UNC
Clemson
Michigan
Oregon
TX Tech
Rutgers (they came really low in my own formula haha at 64)
New Mexico
Also i was a bit wrong maybe on my initial thoughts of ranking MSST, Auburn and AR in that order, MSSt despite those 2 great wins seem to be the bottom. Auburn came in fine at 37th overall. But, like I've been saying, AR may be that team that everyone has in that is in great danger of not making it, as they were 2 spots ahead of VU at 49. Of note, Penn St who have had 2 buzzer beaters in a row (the Maryland one sheesh was a gift) is one spot ahead of VU at 50. But I believe this has VU right around the last 4 in, so I guess I feel better, was hoping they were higher. If you went strictly by my rating, here would be the order of teams by seed (and I have the seeds listed, but they are in order, so Kansas is the #1 overall and Baylor [who I wouldn't have a 1, I'd have UCLA] is the 4th 1 seed. And this through games of yesterday. And, this is not exactly how I'd do it, but i think this year I'm going to lean on this other than some outliers like I said, I'll move WVA and Michigan ST and Baylor down, how much for each not sure yet, but overall it doesn't look too bad (and those MW teams, in my mind I just don't see 4 deserving it). Also interesting that it has MO ahead of TX AM. And I'm just listing like there is no auto bids so you can see, I'm going to have to calculate exactly where last 4 in were be in this list (I am listing 6 11 seeds) But if you take those 4/5 "hopefully" obvious out, VU looks to be maybe the last team in (and I promise I did my calculations before ranking any team, then just went down the NET excluding a few teams I know aren't making it until I got to Vanderbilt)
1. Kansas
1. Alabama
1. Houston
1. Baylor
2. UCLA
2. Purdue
2. Texas
2. Iowa St
3. UConn
3. Kansas St
3. Gonzaga
3. Arizona
4. Marquette
4. Tennessee
4. Michigan St
4. San Diego St
5. Xavier
5. West Virginia
5. FAU
5. Miami FL
6. Indiana
6. Virginia
6. St Mary's
6. Missouri
7. TCU
7. TX AM
7. Kentucky
7. Duke
8. Oral Roberts
8. Northwestern
8. Charleston
8. Memphis
9. Boise St
9. Oklahoma ST
9. Creighton
9. USC
10. Auburn
10. Utah St
10. Illinois
10. North Texas
11. Nevada
11. Iowa
11. Wisconsin
11. Maryland
11. Providence
11. NC ST
12. Sam Houston
12. Pitt
12. Arkansas
12. Penn ST
13. Vanderbilt
13. Bradley
13. Kent St
13. Arizona St
14. MSST
14. Drake
14. UNC
14. Clemson
15. Michigan
15. Oregon
15. VCU
15. UAB
16. TX Tech
16. Rutgers
16. Liberty
16. New Mexico
16. Villanova
16. Washington St
What is this good for. Nothing
