Someone asked about JD's performances at home versus away in another thread but I couldn't remember what thread so I'll just start another thread about it.
He has generally performed much better at The Hawk. In 12 starts overall (6 home, 6 away) he has 5 QS (Quality Starts.) 4 of those 5 were at home.
However, he came just 1 out short of getting 2 more QS, both on the road. Count those and it's 4 home, 3 away. I call that almost a wash in the end.
His W-L at home is 3-1.
On the road it's 1-3.
But W-L record is almost meaningless, but does mean more for starters than it does relievers.
But clearly home is much better. But his 2 "almost wins" (4.2 IP in a game we won -- UCLA and Florida -- and led when he left) would push the away record to 3-3.
I call that almost a wash in the end.
Big difference in H/A ERA -- 3.07 at home, 5.11 on the road. But that is clouded by 2 very bad recent starts on the road at OK and OM. Subtract those 2 games out and his road ERA drops to 3.30 -- very close to home ERA.
Where JD excels is at throwing strikes. His K% is very, very consistent. Amazingly consistent, in fact.
65, 68, 64, 68, 62, 77, 67, 65, 63, 73, 68, 68. Mean is 67, mode is 68, median is 67.5 which any mathematician will tell you is the very definition of consistency.
Never below 62%. The best target is 2:1 ratio which is 67%. Consistency.
He's only had 1 bad performance with respect to walks -- Oklahoma, 5 in 5 innings. And we know how that game turned out.
JD's biggest problem has been having ONE BIG BAD INNING where all his bad pitches are bunched together.
When he avoids that he's a true ace.
I think his H/A is clouded in our minds because of his last 2 home starts -- both excellent, both wins over tough teams -- versus his last 2 road starts -- both bad, both losses to good teams.
One more thing about JD and strikes.
In his last 3 games he has 32 Ks in 19.1 innings, a fantastic K/9 of 14.9 which is Kumar Rocker territory (maybe better, can't remember.)
In 10 of his 12 starts he has struck out more than the innings he's pitched.
In his 4 wins his K/9 is also 14.9. In his 4 losses it drops to 9.2. That's still good but no where near 14.9
In his QS his K/9 is 14.8 which is about as close to 14.9 as you can get.
Conclusion: he's good, home or away, just needs to avoid the ONE BIG BAD INNING.
He has generally performed much better at The Hawk. In 12 starts overall (6 home, 6 away) he has 5 QS (Quality Starts.) 4 of those 5 were at home.
However, he came just 1 out short of getting 2 more QS, both on the road. Count those and it's 4 home, 3 away. I call that almost a wash in the end.
His W-L at home is 3-1.
On the road it's 1-3.
But W-L record is almost meaningless, but does mean more for starters than it does relievers.
But clearly home is much better. But his 2 "almost wins" (4.2 IP in a game we won -- UCLA and Florida -- and led when he left) would push the away record to 3-3.
I call that almost a wash in the end.
Big difference in H/A ERA -- 3.07 at home, 5.11 on the road. But that is clouded by 2 very bad recent starts on the road at OK and OM. Subtract those 2 games out and his road ERA drops to 3.30 -- very close to home ERA.
Where JD excels is at throwing strikes. His K% is very, very consistent. Amazingly consistent, in fact.
65, 68, 64, 68, 62, 77, 67, 65, 63, 73, 68, 68. Mean is 67, mode is 68, median is 67.5 which any mathematician will tell you is the very definition of consistency.
Never below 62%. The best target is 2:1 ratio which is 67%. Consistency.
He's only had 1 bad performance with respect to walks -- Oklahoma, 5 in 5 innings. And we know how that game turned out.
JD's biggest problem has been having ONE BIG BAD INNING where all his bad pitches are bunched together.
When he avoids that he's a true ace.
I think his H/A is clouded in our minds because of his last 2 home starts -- both excellent, both wins over tough teams -- versus his last 2 road starts -- both bad, both losses to good teams.
One more thing about JD and strikes.
In his last 3 games he has 32 Ks in 19.1 innings, a fantastic K/9 of 14.9 which is Kumar Rocker territory (maybe better, can't remember.)
In 10 of his 12 starts he has struck out more than the innings he's pitched.
In his 4 wins his K/9 is also 14.9. In his 4 losses it drops to 9.2. That's still good but no where near 14.9
In his QS his K/9 is 14.8 which is about as close to 14.9 as you can get.
Conclusion: he's good, home or away, just needs to avoid the ONE BIG BAD INNING.
