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Dog to Illinois, but better chance of winning it all?

PhilipVU94

Admiral
Jul 24, 2001
28,866
10,930
113
Boyd waited until the last possible day to post his pre-Super probabilities. Oddly, we're a 44-56 dog to Illinois by his algorithm, but have a slightly better shot at making the final (12.1 to 11.0) and at winning the CWS (6.8 to 6.1).

I take this to mean that somehow, his algorithm thinks we match up much better against teams in our side of the Omaha bracket than do the Illini. Any ideas why?
 
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